Last week was an up down week for me, I started strong getting both picks right in the Wisconsin v Michigan game but ended the day even at 3 and 3. Hopefully this weekends games will be different.
The first game I want to preview is easily the biggest game of the day, the Red River Shootout between Oklahoma and the University of Texas. Always hotly contested and always and entertaining game, usually high scoring. If I’m honest Texas need to look at this as a chance to prove they are back in the conversation for the College Football Playoff. Oklahoma have been average at best so far this season despite being undefeated so far through 5 weeks. OU’s QB spencer Rattler would love to send a message in this one that he is the real deal for Heisman trophy, but Texas’s Offense is going to be comfortable in this home environment
One thing is for sure, a game that normally sees a lot of points scored could see its lowest combined score in a long while. With the Over set at 63.5 and being hammered by punters, I think the under is a good play and I also like Texas Money Line. With the line at 3.5 you might as well seek the extra value and take the higher odd on Texas.
The next game I’m interested in is Florida State at North Carolina. I’ve been big on UNC’s QB Sam Howell all season and predicted he’d win the Heisman trophy. Unfortunately for him, despite some great performances from himself, his teams defence has struggled and cost the Tar Heels some important games and as a result he has somewhat gone from the conversation. Florida State on the other side of this, started the season well with a tough loss against Notre Dame in week 1 but since that game they have struggled badly and have once again become a laughingstock in the college football world.
Because of FSU’s inability to really score points I think the total of 64.5 is a tough one to bet the over. UNC will need to likely score 50 to make it happen, so the under is the play here. The line at 17 is a weird one, I think I like UNC -17 but it’s a tough call. I’m just gunna take the Under in this one.
The last game I’m going to talk about is between #3 ranked undefeated Iowa at home to #4 ranked Undefeated Penn State. 2 undefeated teams going up against each other is always good, especially in week 6, but throw in the 3rd and 4th ranked teams in the country and it makes it even better. Up until this season Iowa has been know for low scoring defensive games, but this season their offence has come along way and there was no better proof than there 51-14 win over Maryland last weekend. And Penn State while not being overly impressive this year, have some big wins over Wisconsin, Auburn and last weeks shut out over Indiana. Both these teams are on the cusp of a Playoff Birth and will be eager to win this one and keep pushing towards it.
A total of 41.5 is incredibly low for College games not including Army or Navy and I think despite both teams’ solid defences, this one will go over. In the past Iowa have been the reason totals don’t go over but they can score now, and I think that will help the total. I also really like Iowa outright and will be taking them ML for the win. If you want another winner, -1.5 Iowa will be also a good play. Very rare a game is decided solely by a point and I’m very confident in Iowa.
Hoping for a return to wining ways this weekend. Also look at Florida against Vanderbilt. -29.5 is a lot for my Gators, and Vandy seem to have figured out how to score so maybe a +29.5 on Vandy would be a good play. As always Gamble Responsibly and all lines and totals provided by BlueBet.com.au.