Well what a fairly disappointing week with Belle Plasir going down for 3 rd early on and Ma and Pa as
well as Bless Her also getting nabbed in the finish we saw a return of $25 but $55 in bonus bets as
Indiana Lily and Kiss The Bride disappointed. The weather has been playing havoc with our selections
with the rains being really hit and miss and messing up our form and thinking and that looks set to
This week both Sydney and Melbourne racing heads somewhat country with Melbourne having the
annual Ballarat Cup meeting with the track expected to be a soft 5 with a possible upgrade and rail
true and Sydney heading to Kembla Grange where the track is currently good 4, but it can be a bog
track after rain and there is a fair bit predicted Friday overnight and on race day so we are going to
do our form around a soft 6 or worse and the rail is also true there.
Melbourne Race 5 – Number 5 – The Guach – $30 Win (Currently $2.15)
Was close up last start carrying 60.5, drops 6.5kg here and meets a few better off from that race. Is
drawn to sit in behind the leaders or a pair further back and handles all surfaces so the soft or good
won’t bother him. Has had 4 starts at the 1200m for 2 wins and 2 seconds so his form at the distance
is great. The 10 could be the main danger and may be worth a saver, 8 also a danger at value.
Melbourne Race 7 – Number 2 – Silent Sovereign – $10 each way (currently $10 / $3.20)
Was narrowly beaten last start by a decent one in Our Playboy, and is now 3 rd up in to this run out to
2000m where he has not won at yet, but his 2 runs in this campaign look to have him ready to win
here. Keeps Luke Currie on board and settle midfield and get a nice run. The main dangers are 10
and 13 both at decent value as well.
Melbourne Race 8 – Number 15 – Skyman – $10 each way (Currently $8.50 / $2.80)
Has been racing well and meets the fav 1.5kg better from their last meeting, only worry is the
favourite might get an easy time of it out in front and be too strong but he is drawn to be able to
track the fav and sit in behind and have a crack at him in the home straight. Obvious danger the 11
(fav) but also rate the chances of the 2, 6 and 9 should the fav get beat.
Sydney Race 8 – Number 15 – Exoboom – $5 each way (Currently $27 / $7.00)
Going a bit of a longshot here in the hope he runs up to his potential and map and can get us a kick.
He drops a massive 5kgs from the Golden Eagle run where he just encountered all sorts of trouble
and was no chance, he also struck trouble in the Silver Eagle but the run in between got the job done
over 1400m. He doesn’t mind the sting out of the track and has won on a heavy track so we are
throwing caution to the wind here. Main dangers are 4 and 11 with 16 also some value each way.
Sydney Race 9 – Number 13 – Suave – $10 each way (Currently $12 / $3.60)
Suave has been building nicely this prep with a few good runs over 1400m and is now ready for a
step out to the 1600m after his race fastest last 200m last start and drops 4.5kg from that meeting
the 8 5kg better for less than a length 3 rd . He should settle just worse of midfield and come charging
home. Dangers other than the 8 are 6, 3 and 5. The state of the track very important here.