Gambling Horse Racing

Mr X’s Saturday Horsing Around Tips

Week 13 – 11/12/2021

Well, we are back after a slight week off with this time of year being rather hectic for all. Our last week we had Irish Angel salute for us at $4.60 and then Decent Raine went down finishing 2nd and the rest went rather below par. After 12 weeks, including bonus bets, we are a chop out, so not that bad, but we would LOVE to see some of those bonus bets turn into solid wins.

This week Melbourne racing returns to the spiritual home (Flemington) where the rail is true and unlike in Sydney the weather is good, as is the track. Sydney heads to Randwick where expecting a heavy track or high soft range on race day and therefore expect scratchings aplenty on the day.

Melbourne Race 3 – Number 2 – Modear – $10 each way (Currently $9.00 / $3.20)

Good straight form at Flemington with 2 wins and 2 places over the 1100m here from 5 starts, also goes well fresh with 2 wins from 4 starts and represents really great value each way. Has had an 11 week freshen up after a poor run to finish last prep, but possible ridden too warm there. Really well suited here down the straight first up on a good track. Dangers 6 and 8.

Melbourne Race 7 – Number 6 – Mileva – $20 Win (Currently $4.80)

Had it’s first attempt down the straight here on Derby Day and was solid finishing 2L of Minhaaj and that form stacks up here in a decent quality race down the famous Flemington straight. Has 2 wins and a 2nd over the 1000m and the freshen up into this race will have her primed for this with her 1st up record of 3 wins and a 2nd from 4 starts standing out. Loves a good track. Main dangers 1 and 2.

Melbourne Race 8 – Number 11 – Good and Proper – $10 each way (Currently $8.00 / $3.10)

Although we missed the early price on this mare as she was as much as $13 early she still represents awesome each way value in this race. Tempo was against her last start and the start before she was good in the Sale Cup over 1600m, steps out to 1800m here where the extra 200m will suit. Has 1 win and a 2nd from 2 starts at the track and appreciates a good track. Main dangers 10 and 1.

Sydney Race 6 – Number 4 – Irish Angel – $20 Win (Currently $3.50)

She again gets conditions to suit with Randwick a Heavy 8 with a massive chance it gets upgraded to a soft 7 during the day with the wind around Sydney today. She was ultra impressive last start on a heavy 10 at Rosehill smashing her rivals and feel she can do the same here again today as long as the track doesn’t dry out too much. Have a saver on 6 as main danger and the 7 can also figure.

Sydney Race 10 – Number 5 – Brookspire – $20 Win (Currently $2.00)

Missed the early price on this girl too as she opened around the $4.20 mark and then was hammered in to $2.40 and now as short as $1.80 some places. She was good last start going down to a good one at Rosehill on a heavy 9 and has good 2ndup and wet track form and is 2 wins and a 3rd from 3 starts over this distance. Should be able to dictate terms from the inside draw and get a much easier run than last start where she was 3 wide the entire trip. If you have any bonus bets from earlier in the day use them here on her as she will be a good thing beat if doesn’t win. 

 

LESGO!!!!!!!!!

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